000
WHXX01 KWBC 021838
CHGHUR
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1838 UTC TUE AUG 2 2011
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
TROPICAL CYCLONE EMILY (AL052011) 20110802 1800 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        110802  1800   110803  0600   110803  1800   110804  0600
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    15.6N  64.8W   16.4N  67.2W   17.2N  69.8W   18.0N  72.2W
BAMD    15.6N  64.8W   16.1N  66.5W   16.9N  68.2W   18.1N  70.0W
BAMM    15.6N  64.8W   16.3N  66.9W   17.1N  69.0W   18.0N  70.9W
LBAR    15.6N  64.8W   16.0N  66.5W   17.1N  68.2W   18.5N  70.0W
SHIP        40KTS          49KTS          58KTS          63KTS
DSHP        40KTS          49KTS          58KTS          50KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        110804  1800   110805  1800   110806  1800   110807  1800
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    18.9N  74.5W   20.2N  78.0W   21.9N  81.1W   23.6N  83.3W
BAMD    19.5N  71.9W   21.9N  75.1W   23.4N  77.8W   24.1N  80.1W
BAMM    19.2N  72.8W   21.1N  75.8W   23.0N  78.2W   24.5N  79.8W
LBAR    20.1N  71.5W   23.8N  73.9W   26.9N  75.6W   29.1N  75.1W
SHIP        68KTS          76KTS          81KTS          73KTS
DSHP        54KTS          61KTS          67KTS          58KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  15.6N LONCUR =  64.8W DIRCUR = 275DEG SPDCUR =   8KT
LATM12 =  15.3N LONM12 =  62.8W DIRM12 = 270DEG SPDM12 =   7KT
LATM24 =  15.1N LONM24 =  60.5W
WNDCUR =   40KT RMAXWD =   60NM WNDM12 =   35KT
CENPRS = 1006MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD =  150NM SDEPTH =   M
RD34NE =   60NM RD34SE =    0NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =  60NM
 
$$
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