000
WTNT80 EGRR 310600

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 31.07.2011

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  36 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 36 : 15.1N  58.1W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 01.08.2011  15.1N  58.1W     WEAK
 00UTC 02.08.2011  15.5N  60.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 02.08.2011  16.8N  63.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 03.08.2011  17.0N  65.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 03.08.2011  17.8N  67.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 04.08.2011  19.6N  69.4W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 04.08.2011  21.4N  70.9W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 05.08.2011  23.6N  72.0W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 05.08.2011  26.1N  73.1W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 06.08.2011  28.3N  73.7W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  60 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 60 : 13.1N 108.9W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 02.08.2011  13.1N 108.9W     WEAK
 00UTC 03.08.2011  14.4N 111.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 03.08.2011  15.2N 113.2W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 04.08.2011  16.1N 115.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 04.08.2011  17.0N 116.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 05.08.2011  18.1N 118.6W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 05.08.2011  19.5N 120.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 06.08.2011  19.3N 121.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 310428