000
WTNT80 EGRR 291800

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC
 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 29.07.2011

        TROPICAL STORM DON        ANALYSED POSITION : 25.9N  94.1W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL042011

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 29.07.2011  25.9N  94.1W     WEAK
 00UTC 30.07.2011  27.0N  96.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 30.07.2011  27.9N  98.3W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 31.07.2011  BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  48 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 48 : 14.4N  51.9W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 31.07.2011  14.4N  51.9W     WEAK
 00UTC 01.08.2011  14.4N  55.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 01.08.2011  15.0N  57.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 02.08.2011  15.7N  60.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 02.08.2011  16.2N  63.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 03.08.2011  17.0N  66.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 03.08.2011  17.6N  69.3W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 04.08.2011  19.6N  71.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 04.08.2011  21.1N  74.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  24 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 24 : 12.3N  80.9W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 30.08.2011  12.3N  80.9W     WEAK
 00UTC 31.08.2011  12.6N  82.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 31.08.2011  12.8N  83.1W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 01.08.2011  12.1N  87.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 01.08.2011  12.0N  89.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 02.08.2011  13.3N  94.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 02.08.2011  12.0N  99.7W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 03.08.2011  13.4N  99.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 03.08.2011        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 291651