000
WTNT80 EGRR 180600

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 18.07.2011

        TROPICAL STORM BRET        ANALYSED POSITION : 27.0N  78.0W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL022011

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 18.07.2011  27.0N  78.0W     WEAK
 12UTC 18.07.2011  27.5N  77.8W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 19.07.2011  28.4N  77.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 19.07.2011  29.5N  77.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 20.07.2011  30.5N  76.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 20.07.2011         BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  12 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 12 : 10.1N  91.4W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 18.07.2011  10.1N  91.4W     WEAK
 00UTC 19.07.2011  11.1N  94.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 19.07.2011  11.8N  96.8W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 20.07.2011  13.4N 100.1W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 20.07.2011  14.8N 103.5W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 21.07.2011  16.1N 106.4W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 21.07.2011  17.0N 108.6W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 22.07.2011  18.2N 110.0W    STRONG     WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 22.07.2011  19.1N 111.1W   MODERATE    WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 23.07.2011  19.8N 111.9W     WEAK      WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 23.07.2011       BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 180436

000
WTNT80 EGRR 180600

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 18.07.2011

        TROPICAL STORM BRET        ANALYSED POSITION : 27.0N  78.0W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL022011

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 18.07.2011  27.0N  78.0W     WEAK
 12UTC 18.07.2011  27.5N  77.8W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 19.07.2011  28.4N  77.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 19.07.2011  29.5N  77.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 20.07.2011  30.5N  76.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 20.07.2011         BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  12 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 12 : 10.1N  91.4W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 18.07.2011  10.1N  91.4W     WEAK
 00UTC 19.07.2011  11.1N  94.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 19.07.2011  11.8N  96.8W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 20.07.2011  13.4N 100.1W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 20.07.2011  14.8N 103.5W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 21.07.2011  16.1N 106.4W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 21.07.2011  17.0N 108.6W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 22.07.2011  18.2N 110.0W    STRONG     WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 22.07.2011  19.1N 111.1W   MODERATE    WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 23.07.2011  19.8N 111.9W     WEAK      WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 23.07.2011       BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 180436