000
WTNT80 EGRR 161800

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC
 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 16.07.2011

    TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPED IN THE MODEL ANALYSIS AT POSITION : 15.1N  95.4W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 16.07.2011  15.1N  95.4W   MODERATE
 00UTC 17.07.2011  14.7N  95.8W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 17.07.2011  14.2N  95.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 18.07.2011  14.7N  97.2W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 18.07.2011  BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  24 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 24 : 16.6N 106.8W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 17.07.2011  16.6N 106.8W     WEAK
 00UTC 18.07.2011  16.8N 107.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 18.07.2011  17.2N 108.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 19.07.2011  17.9N 110.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 19.07.2011  18.3N 112.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 20.07.2011        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 161646

000
WTNT80 EGRR 161800

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC
 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 16.07.2011

    TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPED IN THE MODEL ANALYSIS AT POSITION : 15.1N  95.4W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 16.07.2011  15.1N  95.4W   MODERATE
 00UTC 17.07.2011  14.7N  95.8W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 17.07.2011  14.2N  95.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 18.07.2011  14.7N  97.2W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 18.07.2011  BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  24 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 24 : 16.6N 106.8W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 17.07.2011  16.6N 106.8W     WEAK
 00UTC 18.07.2011  16.8N 107.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 18.07.2011  17.2N 108.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 19.07.2011  17.9N 110.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 19.07.2011  18.3N 112.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 20.07.2011        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 161646