000
WTNT80 EGRR 081800

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 08.07.2011

        TROPICAL STORM CALVIN     ANALYSED POSITION : 16.3N 106.6W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP032011

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 08.07.2011  16.3N 106.6W     WEAK
 00UTC 09.07.2011  16.5N 108.1W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 09.07.2011  16.8N 110.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 10.07.2011  17.0N 111.7W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 10.07.2011  17.3N 113.1W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 11.07.2011  17.9N 114.0W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 11.07.2011        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  12 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 12 :  6.0N 163.1W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 09.07.2011   6.0N 163.1W     WEAK
 12UTC 09.07.2011   7.3N 164.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 10.07.2011   7.9N 164.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 10.07.2011   8.4N 165.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 11.07.2011   8.8N 165.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 11.07.2011   9.5N 166.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 12.07.2011  10.4N 168.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 12.07.2011  10.9N 170.1W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 13.07.2011  11.4N 172.1W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 13.07.2011  11.9N 174.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 14.07.2011        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 081642

000
WTNT80 EGRR 081800

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 08.07.2011

        TROPICAL STORM CALVIN     ANALYSED POSITION : 16.3N 106.6W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP032011

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 08.07.2011  16.3N 106.6W     WEAK
 00UTC 09.07.2011  16.5N 108.1W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 09.07.2011  16.8N 110.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 10.07.2011  17.0N 111.7W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 10.07.2011  17.3N 113.1W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 11.07.2011  17.9N 114.0W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 11.07.2011        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  12 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 12 :  6.0N 163.1W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 09.07.2011   6.0N 163.1W     WEAK
 12UTC 09.07.2011   7.3N 164.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 10.07.2011   7.9N 164.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 10.07.2011   8.4N 165.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 11.07.2011   8.8N 165.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 11.07.2011   9.5N 166.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 12.07.2011  10.4N 168.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 12.07.2011  10.9N 170.1W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 13.07.2011  11.4N 172.1W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 13.07.2011  11.9N 174.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 14.07.2011        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 081642