000 WHXX01 KWBC 210636 CHGHUR TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0636 UTC THU OCT 21 2010 DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS. PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION. ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE NINETEEN (AL192010) 20101021 0600 UTC ...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS... 101021 0600 101021 1800 101022 0600 101022 1800 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 17.3N 80.9W 16.8N 81.2W 16.0N 81.9W 15.4N 82.8W BAMD 17.3N 80.9W 17.4N 80.6W 17.7N 81.0W 18.1N 81.7W BAMM 17.3N 80.9W 17.0N 80.9W 16.8N 81.4W 16.7N 82.3W LBAR 17.3N 80.9W 17.5N 80.3W 18.5N 80.2W 20.1N 80.2W SHIP 30KTS 34KTS 39KTS 47KTS DSHP 30KTS 34KTS 39KTS 47KTS ...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS... 101023 0600 101024 0600 101025 0600 101026 0600 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 14.8N 83.9W 14.2N 86.9W 14.9N 88.9W 16.6N 89.7W BAMD 18.5N 82.7W 19.2N 86.2W 20.6N 89.6W 22.6N 90.1W BAMM 16.5N 83.6W 16.2N 87.4W 16.3N 90.5W 15.9N 91.5W LBAR 22.1N 80.1W 26.0N 80.1W 29.6N 77.2W 32.8N 69.0W SHIP 55KTS 71KTS 78KTS 66KTS DSHP 55KTS 71KTS 61KTS 31KTS ...INITIAL CONDITIONS... LATCUR = 17.3N LONCUR = 80.9W DIRCUR = 115DEG SPDCUR = 4KT LATM12 = 17.6N LONM12 = 81.6W DIRM12 = 94DEG SPDM12 = 6KT LATM24 = 17.8N LONM24 = 82.9W WNDCUR = 30KT RMAXWD = 70NM WNDM12 = 30KT CENPRS = 1005MB OUTPRS = 1011MB OUTRAD = 220NM SDEPTH = M RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM $$ NNNN