000
WHXX01 KWBC 201814
CHGHUR
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1814 UTC WED OCT 20 2010
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
DISTURBANCE INVEST (AL992010) 20101020 1800 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        101020  1800   101021  0600   101021  1800   101022  0600
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    17.1N  82.2W   16.9N  82.1W   16.2N  82.3W   15.2N  82.9W
BAMD    17.1N  82.2W   17.5N  81.5W   17.6N  81.3W   17.7N  81.6W
BAMM    17.1N  82.2W   16.8N  82.0W   16.3N  82.3W   15.7N  83.0W
LBAR    17.1N  82.2W   17.2N  81.5W   17.9N  81.3W   19.1N  81.4W
SHIP        30KTS          32KTS          35KTS          38KTS
DSHP        30KTS          32KTS          35KTS          38KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        101022  1800   101023  1800   101024  1800   101025  1800
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    14.4N  83.7W   12.9N  85.7W   13.0N  88.1W   14.4N  90.2W
BAMD    17.8N  82.3W   17.4N  85.1W   17.3N  89.7W   18.2N  92.9W
BAMM    15.0N  84.1W   13.7N  87.5W   12.9N  91.1W   12.7N  93.3W
LBAR    20.7N  81.5W   24.6N  81.9W   28.0N  80.7W   30.9N  73.9W
SHIP        45KTS          59KTS          61KTS          60KTS
DSHP        35KTS          28KTS          30KTS          29KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  17.1N LONCUR =  82.2W DIRCUR = 120DEG SPDCUR =   4KT
LATM12 =  17.8N LONM12 =  82.9W DIRM12 =  90DEG SPDM12 =   3KT
LATM24 =  17.4N LONM24 =  83.4W
WNDCUR =   30KT RMAXWD =   70NM WNDM12 =   30KT
CENPRS = 1008MB OUTPRS = 1012MB OUTRAD =  200NM SDEPTH =   M
RD34NE =    0NM RD34SE =    0NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =   0NM
 
$$
NNNN