000
WHXX01 KWBC 181232
CHGHUR
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1232 UTC MON OCT 18 2010
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
DISTURBANCE INVEST (AL992010) 20101018 1200 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        101018  1200   101019  0000   101019  1200   101020  0000
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    15.1N  82.5W   15.8N  83.8W   16.6N  84.9W   17.4N  85.6W
BAMD    15.1N  82.5W   16.4N  83.5W   18.1N  83.4W   20.0N  82.0W
BAMM    15.1N  82.5W   16.1N  83.5W   17.1N  83.8W   18.0N  83.5W
LBAR    15.1N  82.5W   16.8N  83.6W   18.9N  84.0W   21.3N  83.1W
SHIP        25KTS          31KTS          37KTS          40KTS
DSHP        25KTS          31KTS          37KTS          40KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        101020  1200   101021  1200   101022  1200   101023  1200
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    18.0N  86.0W   17.6N  87.1W   16.7N  89.6W   17.2N  92.5W
BAMD    21.6N  79.5W   25.8N  71.0W   32.5N  58.8W   40.4N  45.7W
BAMM    18.3N  83.0W   17.5N  82.4W   15.9N  84.5W   15.2N  89.4W
LBAR    23.5N  80.8W   30.4N  72.3W   38.7N  54.5W     .0N    .0W
SHIP        43KTS          42KTS          40KTS          45KTS
DSHP        43KTS          42KTS          40KTS          29KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  15.1N LONCUR =  82.5W DIRCUR = 320DEG SPDCUR =  12KT
LATM12 =  13.1N LONM12 =  81.0W DIRM12 = 312DEG SPDM12 =  11KT
LATM24 =  12.0N LONM24 =  79.2W
WNDCUR =   25KT RMAXWD =   60NM WNDM12 =   20KT
CENPRS = 1010MB OUTPRS = 1012MB OUTRAD =  250NM SDEPTH =   S
RD34NE =    0NM RD34SE =    0NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =   0NM
 
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