000
WHXX01 KWBC 171248
CHGHUR
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1248 UTC SUN OCT 17 2010
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
DISTURBANCE INVEST (AL992010) 20101017 1200 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        101017  1200   101018  0000   101018  1200   101019  0000
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    11.5N  78.2W   12.0N  79.7W   12.4N  81.3W   13.1N  82.7W
BAMD    11.5N  78.2W   12.2N  79.7W   13.0N  81.2W   14.0N  82.5W
BAMM    11.5N  78.2W   12.2N  79.7W   12.9N  81.2W   13.6N  82.6W
LBAR    11.5N  78.2W   12.2N  79.8W   13.4N  81.3W   14.8N  82.4W
SHIP        20KTS          22KTS          27KTS          36KTS
DSHP        20KTS          22KTS          27KTS          36KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        101019  1200   101020  1200   101021  1200   101022  1200
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    13.7N  84.0W   14.7N  86.0W   14.3N  88.1W   13.1N  90.9W
BAMD    15.1N  83.4W   16.9N  83.9W   17.7N  83.6W   17.6N  84.9W
BAMM    14.3N  83.7W   14.8N  85.1W   13.5N  86.3W   11.2N  88.8W
LBAR    16.2N  82.8W   18.5N  81.8W   20.0N  80.0W   23.0N  78.7W
SHIP        44KTS          57KTS          65KTS          74KTS
DSHP        34KTS          28KTS          27KTS          35KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  11.5N LONCUR =  78.2W DIRCUR = 285DEG SPDCUR =   6KT
LATM12 =  11.1N LONM12 =  76.9W DIRM12 = 283DEG SPDM12 =   7KT
LATM24 =  10.9N LONM24 =  75.7W
WNDCUR =   20KT RMAXWD =   60NM WNDM12 =   20KT
CENPRS = 1009MB OUTPRS = 1012MB OUTRAD =  200NM SDEPTH =   S
RD34NE =    0NM RD34SE =    0NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =   0NM
 
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