000
WHXX01 KWBC 111809
CHGHUR
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1809 UTC MON OCT 11 2010
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
DISTURBANCE INVEST (AL982010) 20101011 1800 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        101011  1800   101012  0600   101012  1800   101013  0600
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    15.6N  83.7W   16.6N  85.2W   17.7N  86.5W   18.3N  87.3W
BAMD    15.6N  83.7W   16.6N  85.2W   17.9N  86.6W   19.0N  87.5W
BAMM    15.6N  83.7W   16.6N  85.2W   17.7N  86.3W   18.3N  87.0W
LBAR    15.6N  83.7W   16.7N  84.9W   18.2N  86.3W   20.0N  87.1W
SHIP        40KTS          51KTS          61KTS          67KTS
DSHP        40KTS          51KTS          61KTS          67KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        101013  1800   101014  1800   101015  1800   101016  1800
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    18.4N  88.0W   16.4N  89.0W   13.4N  90.8W   12.1N  93.6W
BAMD    19.9N  88.2W   21.2N  87.6W   22.5N  84.5W   24.6N  77.3W
BAMM    18.4N  87.8W   17.3N  88.6W   15.6N  90.0W   14.6N  92.1W
LBAR    22.0N  86.8W   26.0N  80.7W   32.1N  65.4W   35.8N  56.8W
SHIP        73KTS          72KTS          62KTS          56KTS
DSHP        73KTS          72KTS          62KTS          56KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  15.6N LONCUR =  83.7W DIRCUR = 305DEG SPDCUR =   7KT
LATM12 =  14.2N LONM12 =  82.0W DIRM12 = 307DEG SPDM12 =  13KT
LATM24 =  13.4N LONM24 =  80.8W
WNDCUR =   40KT RMAXWD =   20NM WNDM12 =   25KT
CENPRS = 1002MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD =  250NM SDEPTH =   S
RD34NE =   50NM RD34SE =    0NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =  50NM
 
$$
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