000 WHXX01 KWBC 231830 CHGHUR TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1830 UTC THU SEP 23 2010 DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS. PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION. ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR DISTURBANCE JULIA (AL122010) 20100923 1800 UTC ...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS... 100923 1800 100924 0600 100924 1800 100925 0600 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 32.0N 38.5W 31.3N 40.1W 30.8N 41.8W 29.9N 43.1W BAMD 32.0N 38.5W 30.9N 38.5W 30.1N 38.1W 29.5N 37.0W BAMM 32.0N 38.5W 31.1N 39.6W 30.4N 40.5W 29.5N 41.2W LBAR 32.0N 38.5W 31.0N 38.9W 30.7N 39.5W 30.7N 40.0W SHIP 25KTS 27KTS 28KTS 25KTS DSHP 25KTS 27KTS 28KTS 25KTS ...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS... 100925 1800 100926 1800 100927 1800 100928 1800 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 29.1N 44.5W 27.8N 49.0W 27.8N 53.7W 28.3N 57.6W BAMD 28.9N 36.5W 27.8N 38.6W 27.6N 42.0W 27.6N 43.2W BAMM 28.3N 42.1W 26.2N 46.0W 25.0N 50.5W 24.6N 54.4W LBAR 30.8N 40.3W 31.1N 41.5W 32.5N 43.0W 33.7N 41.4W SHIP 20KTS 0KTS 0KTS 0KTS DSHP 20KTS 0KTS 0KTS 0KTS ...INITIAL CONDITIONS... LATCUR = 32.0N LONCUR = 38.5W DIRCUR = 220DEG SPDCUR = 7KT LATM12 = 33.0N LONM12 = 37.6W DIRM12 = 166DEG SPDM12 = 4KT LATM24 = 33.4N LONM24 = 38.6W WNDCUR = 25KT RMAXWD = 60NM WNDM12 = 25KT CENPRS = 1012MB OUTPRS = 1015MB OUTRAD = 200NM SDEPTH = S RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM $$ NNNN 000 WHXX01 KWBC 231830 CHGHUR TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1830 UTC THU SEP 23 2010 DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS. PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION. ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE FIFTEEN (AL152010) 20100923 1800 UTC ...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS... 100923 1800 100924 0600 100924 1800 100925 0600 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 13.9N 76.2W 14.5N 78.4W 15.3N 80.7W 16.0N 83.0W BAMD 13.9N 76.2W 14.3N 78.7W 14.8N 81.3W 15.4N 83.7W BAMM 13.9N 76.2W 14.4N 78.7W 15.0N 81.3W 15.6N 83.9W LBAR 13.9N 76.2W 14.3N 79.1W 15.0N 82.2W 15.6N 85.4W SHIP 30KTS 36KTS 46KTS 58KTS DSHP 30KTS 36KTS 46KTS 58KTS ...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS... 100925 1800 100926 1800 100927 1800 100928 1800 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 16.8N 85.5W 18.7N 89.8W 19.4N 92.9W 18.3N 95.3W BAMD 16.2N 85.8W 18.1N 88.9W 19.9N 90.8W 19.9N 92.8W BAMM 16.5N 86.3W 18.3N 90.1W 19.1N 92.5W 17.4N 94.4W LBAR 16.5N 88.3W 19.2N 92.6W 21.6N 94.0W 20.7N 94.5W SHIP 69KTS 88KTS 100KTS 102KTS DSHP 59KTS 78KTS 41KTS 33KTS ...INITIAL CONDITIONS... LATCUR = 13.9N LONCUR = 76.2W DIRCUR = 280DEG SPDCUR = 14KT LATM12 = 13.4N LONM12 = 73.4W DIRM12 = 281DEG SPDM12 = 14KT LATM24 = 12.8N LONM24 = 70.6W WNDCUR = 30KT RMAXWD = 30NM WNDM12 = 30KT CENPRS = 1007MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD = 130NM SDEPTH = M RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM $$ NNNN