000
WTNT80 EGRR 231800

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 23.09.2010

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION LISA       ANALYSED POSITION : 17.5N  28.7W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL142010

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 23.09.2010  17.5N  28.7W   MODERATE
 00UTC 24.09.2010  17.8N  28.3W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 24.09.2010  18.4N  28.0W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 25.09.2010  20.0N  28.4W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 25.09.2010  22.1N  28.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 26.09.2010  23.5N  29.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 26.09.2010  25.0N  30.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 27.09.2010  26.1N  30.8W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 27.09.2010         BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

    TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPED IN THE MODEL ANALYSIS AT POSITION : 13.8N  73.7W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 23.09.2010  13.8N  73.7W     WEAK
 00UTC 24.09.2010  14.8N  77.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 24.09.2010  14.8N  80.4W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 25.09.2010  15.4N  82.9W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 25.09.2010  16.5N  85.6W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 26.09.2010  17.5N  87.7W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 26.09.2010  18.2N  89.9W     WEAK      WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 27.09.2010  18.8N  91.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 27.09.2010  18.6N  93.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 28.09.2010         BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 231716