000 WTNT80 EGRR 230600 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 23.09.2010 TROPICAL STORM LISA ANALYSED POSITION : 17.5N 29.5W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL142010 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 23.09.2010 17.5N 29.5W WEAK 12UTC 23.09.2010 17.7N 29.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 24.09.2010 18.2N 29.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 24.09.2010 18.9N 30.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 25.09.2010 20.0N 30.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 25.09.2010 20.8N 31.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 26.09.2010 22.0N 32.2W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 26.09.2010 22.9N 33.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 27.09.2010 23.7N 34.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 27.09.2010 24.7N 36.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 28.09.2010 25.5N 37.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 28.09.2010 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPED IN THE MODEL ANALYSIS AT POSITION : 10.9N 129.7W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 23.09.2010 10.9N 129.7W WEAK 12UTC 23.09.2010 10.9N 128.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 24.09.2010 10.8N 127.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 24.09.2010 11.0N 126.7W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 25.09.2010 11.4N 126.0W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 25.09.2010 11.5N 125.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 26.09.2010 12.4N 124.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 26.09.2010 11.8N 123.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 27.09.2010 11.7N 123.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 27.09.2010 11.6N 121.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 28.09.2010 12.0N 121.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 28.09.2010 12.6N 119.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 29.09.2010 12.4N 118.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPED IN THE MODEL ANALYSIS AT POSITION : 13.1N 72.1W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 23.09.2010 13.1N 72.1W WEAK 12UTC 23.09.2010 14.3N 73.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 24.09.2010 14.6N 76.7W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 24.09.2010 14.9N 79.3W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 25.09.2010 16.0N 82.1W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 25.09.2010 16.7N 84.8W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 26.09.2010 17.7N 87.3W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 26.09.2010 18.6N 89.1W MODERATE WEAKENING RAPIDLY 00UTC 27.09.2010 19.2N 91.0W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 27.09.2010 19.3N 91.7W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 28.09.2010 19.6N 92.0W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 28.09.2010 19.1N 92.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 29.09.2010 19.1N 92.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPED IN THE MODEL ANALYSIS AT POSITION : 32.6N 38.1W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 23.09.2010 32.6N 38.1W WEAK 12UTC 23.09.2010 31.8N 38.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 24.09.2010 31.2N 40.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 24.09.2010 31.1N 43.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 25.09.2010 30.8N 44.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 25.09.2010 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 36 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 36 : 15.9N 102.2W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 24.09.2010 15.9N 102.2W WEAK 00UTC 25.09.2010 15.9N 103.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 25.09.2010 15.8N 104.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 26.09.2010 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 230508