000 WTNT80 EGRR 220600 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 22.09.2010 TROPICAL DEPRESSION GEORGETT ANALYSED POSITION : 24.3N 110.0W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP122010 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 22.09.2010 24.3N 110.0W MODERATE 12UTC 22.09.2010 26.6N 111.3W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 23.09.2010 30.7N 114.7W WEAK WEAKING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 23.09.2010 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL STORM LISA ANALYSED POSITION : 18.2N 31.4W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL142010 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 22.09.2010 18.2N 31.4W WEAK 12UTC 22.09.2010 18.1N 31.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 23.09.2010 17.7N 31.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 23.09.2010 17.6N 31.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 24.09.2010 17.0N 31.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 24.09.2010 17.1N 32.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 25.09.2010 17.4N 33.8WWEAKLITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 25.09.2010 17.4N 34.5WWEAKLITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 26.09.2010 17.2N 36.3WWEAKLITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 26.09.2010 18.4N 37.3WWEAKLITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 27.09.2010 18.2N 40.1WWEAKLITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 27.09.2010 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPED IN THE MODEL ANALYSIS AT POSITION : 11.6N 132.1W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 22.09.2010 11.6N 132.1W WEAK 12UTC 22.09.2010 11.7N 130.9W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 23.09.2010 11.7N 129.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 23.09.2010 11.4N 128.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 24.09.2010 11.5N 128.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 24.09.2010 11.6N 127.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 25.09.2010 11.6N 126.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 25.09.2010 12.1N 125.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 26.09.2010 12.3N 124.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 26.09.2010 12.2N 123.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 27.09.2010 12.3N 122.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 27.09.2010 12.1N 121.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 28.09.2010 12.5N 119.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 48 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 48 : 14.9N 76.0W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 24.09.2010 14.9N 76.0W WEAK 12UTC 24.09.2010 14.8N 79.0W WEAKLITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 25.09.2010 15.7N 81.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 25.09.2010 16.6N 84.0W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 26.09.2010 17.9N 86.9W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 26.09.2010 18.2N 89.2W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 27.09.2010 18.7N 91.6W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 27.09.2010 18.6N 91.4W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 28.09.2010 18.8N 91.5W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 220442