000 WTNT80 EGRR 211800 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 21.09.2010 TROPICAL STORM GEORGETT ANALYSED POSITION : 21.7N 109.5W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP122010 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 21.09.2010 21.7N 109.5W WEAK 00UTC 22.09.2010 23.6N 109.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 22.09.2010 26.0N 110.8W MODERATE INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 00UTC 23.09.2010 27.6N 111.1W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 23.09.2010 28.5N 113.2W WEAK WEAKENING RAPIDLY 00UTC 24.09.2010 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH HURRICANE IGOR ANALYSED POSITION : 44.7N 53.5W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL112010 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 21.09.2010 44.7N 53.5W INTENSE 00UTC 22.09.2010 50.5N 49.5W EXTRA-TROPICAL TROPICAL STORM LISA ANALYSED POSITION : 18.0N 31.7W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL142010 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 21.09.2010 18.0N 31.7W WEAK 00UTC 22.09.2010 18.1N 31.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 22.09.2010 17.9N 31.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 23.09.2010 17.9N 30.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 23.09.2010 19.0N 28.9W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 24.09.2010 20.4N 27.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 24.09.2010 21.0N 28.3W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 25.09.2010 23.7N 28.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 25.09.2010 25.9N 27.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 26.09.2010 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPED IN THE MODEL ANALYSIS AT POSITION : 10.9N 152.1W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 21.09.2010 10.9N 152.1W WEAK 00UTC 22.09.2010 11.9N 153.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 22.09.2010 13.2N 154.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 23.09.2010 13.2N 156.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 23.09.2010 13.6N 157.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 24.09.2010 14.1N 159.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 24.09.2010 14.1N 160.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 25.09.2010 13.6N 162.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 25.09.2010 13.7N 164.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 26.09.2010 12.8N 167.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 26.09.2010 12.0N 170.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 27.09.2010 11.6N 172.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 27.09.2010 11.0N 174.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPED IN THE MODEL ANALYSIS AT POSITION : 14.0N 121.5W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 21.09.2010 14.0N 121.5W MODERATE 00UTC 22.09.2010 14.2N 119.0W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 22.09.2010 14.1N 116.3W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 23.09.2010 14.0N 113.8W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 23.09.2010 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPED IN THE MODEL ANALYSIS AT POSITION : 34.3N 43.1W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 21.09.2010 34.3N 43.1W WEAK 00UTC 22.09.2010 33.4N 40.6W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 22.09.2010 33.6N 38.9W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 23.09.2010 33.4N 37.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 23.09.2010 32.8N 38.7W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 24.09.2010 31.5N 40.7W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 24.09.2010 31.0N 42.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 25.09.2010 30.7N 43.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 25.09.2010 28.8N 45.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 26.09.2010 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 24 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 24 : 11.8N 130.8W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 22.09.2010 11.8N 130.8W WEAK 00UTC 23.09.2010 11.5N 130.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 23.09.2010 11.0N 129.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 24.09.2010 11.3N 128.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 24.09.2010 11.4N 127.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 25.09.2010 12.2N 126.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 25.09.2010 12.1N 125.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 26.09.2010 12.6N 124.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 26.09.2010 12.8N 122.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 27.09.2010 12.7N 122.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 27.09.2010 12.8N 121.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 48 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 48 : 13.7N 73.7W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 23.09.2010 13.7N 73.7W WEAK 00UTC 24.09.2010 14.6N 75.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 24.09.2010 14.8N 79.0W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 25.09.2010 16.1N 82.0W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 25.09.2010 16.8N 84.9W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 26.09.2010 17.5N 87.6W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 26.09.2010 18.2N 89.8W MODERATE WEAKENING RAPIDLY 00UTC 27.09.2010 18.7N 91.6W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 27.09.2010 18.4N 92.4W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 211751