000
WTNT80 EGRR 200600

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC
 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 20.09.2010

             HURRICANE IGOR       ANALYSED POSITION : 31.7N  65.8W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL112010

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 20.09.2010  31.7N  65.8W   INTENSE
 12UTC 20.09.2010  35.1N  64.5W   INTENSE     WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 21.09.2010  38.6N  60.9W   INTENSE       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 21.09.2010  42.1N  54.6W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 22.09.2010  45.8N  48.1W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 22.09.2010  48.8N  41.3W   INTENSE     WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 23.09.2010  53.4N  40.3W   INTENSE     WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 23.09.2010 EXTRA-TROPICAL

        TROPICAL STORM JULIA      ANALYSED POSITION : 35.0N  49.1W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL122010

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 20.09.2010  35.0N  49.1W   MODERATE
 12UTC 20.09.2010  35.7N  47.7W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 21.09.2010  36.5N  46.5W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 21.09.2010  42.6N  49.2W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 22.09.2010  MERGES WITH IGOR


             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  24 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 24 : 15.3N 33.6W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 21.09.2010  15.3N  33.6W     WEAK     
 12UTC 21.09.2010  16.2N  33.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 22.09.2010  17.1N  33.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 22.09.2010  17.8N  35.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 23.09.2010  17.7N  35.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 23.09.2010  17.8N  35.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 24.09.2010  18.3N  36.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 24.09.2010  19.0N  37.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 25.09.2010  19.4N  37.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 25.09.2010  19.7N  37.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 
             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  24 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 12 : 19.7N 109.0W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 20.09.2010  19.7N 109.0W     WEAK
 00UTC 21.09.2010  20.6N 109.6W     WEAK  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 21.09.2010  21.5N 109.8W     WEAK  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 22.09.2010  22.4N 109.6W     WEAK      WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 22.09.2010  23.0N 110.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 23.09.2010        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 200512