000
WTNT80 EGRR 171800

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC
 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 17.09.2010

             HURRICANE IGOR       ANALYSED POSITION : 22.5N  59.6W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL112010

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 17.09.2010  22.5N  59.6W   INTENSE
 00UTC 18.09.2010  24.1N  61.3W   INTENSE       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 18.09.2010  25.6N  62.8W   INTENSE    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 19.09.2010  27.3N  63.9W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 19.09.2010  29.0N  64.5W   INTENSE     WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 20.09.2010  31.3N  63.8W   INTENSE       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 20.09.2010  34.5N  62.1W   INTENSE    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 21.09.2010  37.9N  57.4W   INTENSE       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 21.09.2010  43.5N  49.7W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 22.09.2010  50.5N  48.4W   INTENSE    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 22.09.2010  51.7N  45.6W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 23.09.2010  52.8N  41.7W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 23.09.2010  53.3N  40.3W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY

             HURRICANE JULIA      ANALYSED POSITION : 23.8N  45.9W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL122010

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 17.09.2010  23.8N  45.9W    STRONG
 00UTC 18.09.2010  25.5N  49.1W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 18.09.2010  27.8N  51.5W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 19.09.2010  31.1N  53.6W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 19.09.2010  34.1N  54.2W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 20.09.2010  36.4N  52.8W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 20.09.2010  38.1N  50.8W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 21.09.2010  41.3N  52.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 21.09.2010  MERGES WITH HURRICANE IGOR

             HURRICANE KARL       ANALYSED POSITION : 19.6N  95.4W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL132010

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 17.09.2010  19.6N  95.4W   INTENSE
 00UTC 18.09.2010  20.3N  96.2W   INTENSE     WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 18.09.2010  21.0N  97.4W   MODERATE    WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 19.09.2010  BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

    
             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  48 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 48 : 17.6N 104.3W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 19.09.2010  17.6N 104.3W    WEAK   
 00UTC 20.09.2010  18.4N 106.0W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 20.09.2010  19.3N 108.1W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 21.09.2010  20.3N 109.5W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 21.09.2010  21.0N 111.0W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 22.09.2010  21.7N 111.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 22.09.2010  BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 171649