000 WHXX01 KWBC 161257 CHGHUR TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1257 UTC THU SEP 16 2010 DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS. PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION. ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE KARL (AL132010) 20100916 1200 UTC ...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS... 100916 1200 100917 0000 100917 1200 100918 0000 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 19.6N 92.2W 19.7N 93.8W 19.7N 95.4W 19.8N 96.7W BAMD 19.6N 92.2W 20.0N 93.9W 20.2N 95.4W 20.2N 97.0W BAMM 19.6N 92.2W 20.1N 94.0W 20.3N 95.5W 20.3N 97.1W LBAR 19.6N 92.2W 20.3N 94.2W 21.1N 96.2W 21.9N 98.1W SHIP 55KTS 69KTS 81KTS 85KTS DSHP 55KTS 69KTS 81KTS 74KTS ...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS... 100918 1200 100919 1200 100920 1200 100921 1200 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 19.7N 98.0W 19.5N 101.0W 20.4N 104.7W 20.9N 108.3W BAMD 20.0N 98.8W 20.1N 103.3W 21.0N 107.8W 21.3N 111.6W BAMM 20.1N 98.9W 20.0N 103.1W 20.8N 107.7W 20.5N 111.7W LBAR 22.5N 100.1W 23.4N 104.1W 24.6N 107.5W 26.7N 108.5W SHIP 91KTS 99KTS 94KTS 85KTS DSHP 46KTS 29KTS 27KTS 27KTS ...INITIAL CONDITIONS... LATCUR = 19.6N LONCUR = 92.2W DIRCUR = 280DEG SPDCUR = 10KT LATM12 = 19.2N LONM12 = 90.1W DIRM12 = 286DEG SPDM12 = 11KT LATM24 = 18.5N LONM24 = 87.6W WNDCUR = 55KT RMAXWD = 10NM WNDM12 = 35KT CENPRS = 986MB OUTPRS = 1009MB OUTRAD = 120NM SDEPTH = D RD34NE = 45NM RD34SE = 50NM RD34SW = 60NM RD34NW = 50NM $$ NNNN 000 WHXX01 KWBC 161257 CHGHUR TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1257 UTC THU SEP 16 2010 DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS. PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION. ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE JULIA (AL122010) 20100916 1200 UTC ...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS... 100916 1200 100917 0000 100917 1200 100918 0000 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 21.9N 37.6W 24.0N 41.3W 26.2N 44.6W 28.6N 47.7W BAMD 21.9N 37.6W 23.4N 40.7W 24.5N 43.7W 25.5N 46.2W BAMM 21.9N 37.6W 23.6N 40.9W 25.2N 44.1W 26.9N 47.0W LBAR 21.9N 37.6W 24.0N 40.7W 25.9N 44.0W 27.8N 46.5W SHIP 85KTS 78KTS 71KTS 63KTS DSHP 85KTS 78KTS 71KTS 63KTS ...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS... 100918 1200 100919 1200 100920 1200 100921 1200 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 31.0N 50.4W 34.6N 53.2W 37.3N 53.6W 44.6N 52.1W BAMD 26.7N 48.3W 29.4N 50.2W 29.8N 48.2W 28.9N 47.6W BAMM 28.8N 49.2W 32.7N 50.5W 33.7N 44.7W 31.7N 40.9W LBAR 29.9N 48.6W 33.3N 49.6W 33.9N 46.5W 33.0N 43.9W SHIP 55KTS 42KTS 29KTS 0KTS DSHP 55KTS 42KTS 29KTS 0KTS ...INITIAL CONDITIONS... LATCUR = 21.9N LONCUR = 37.6W DIRCUR = 300DEG SPDCUR = 22KT LATM12 = 19.7N LONM12 = 33.8W DIRM12 = 311DEG SPDM12 = 16KT LATM24 = 17.7N LONM24 = 32.2W WNDCUR = 85KT RMAXWD = 30NM WNDM12 = 100KT CENPRS = 971MB OUTPRS = 1009MB OUTRAD = 225NM SDEPTH = D RD34NE = 120NM RD34SE = 100NM RD34SW = 80NM RD34NW = 120NM $$ NNNN