000
WTNT80 EGRR 151800

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 15.09.2010

             HURRICANE JULIA      ANALYSED POSITION : 17.5N  32.1W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL122010

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 15.09.2010  17.5N  32.1W    STRONG
 00UTC 16.09.2010  18.8N  33.8W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 16.09.2010  20.8N  36.3W   INTENSE       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 17.09.2010  23.1N  39.9W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 17.09.2010  25.4N  44.0W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 18.09.2010  27.4N  47.7W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 18.09.2010  29.9N  50.5W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 19.09.2010  32.7N  51.5W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 19.09.2010  35.1N  50.8W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 20.09.2010  36.5N  48.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 20.09.2010  36.9N  45.9W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 21.09.2010  37.2N  43.1W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 21.09.2010  38.1N  39.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

             HURRICANE IGOR       ANALYSED POSITION : 19.6N  54.7W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL112010

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 15.09.2010  19.6N  54.7W   INTENSE
 00UTC 16.09.2010  20.3N  55.8W   INTENSE    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 16.09.2010  21.0N  57.5W   INTENSE       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 17.09.2010  21.3N  58.8W   INTENSE       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 17.09.2010  21.9N  60.2W   INTENSE       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 18.09.2010  22.9N  61.3W   INTENSE       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 18.09.2010  24.2N  62.7W   INTENSE       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 19.09.2010  25.7N  63.5W   INTENSE       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 19.09.2010  27.4N  64.5W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 20.09.2010  29.5N  64.8W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 20.09.2010  31.5N  64.8W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 21.09.2010  32.5N  64.2W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 21.09.2010  32.9N  63.8W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE

        TROPICAL STORM KARL       ANALYSED POSITION : 18.6N  87.3W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL132010

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 15.09.2010  18.6N  87.3W   MODERATE
 00UTC 16.09.2010  19.3N  89.2W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 16.09.2010  19.4N  91.3W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 17.09.2010  20.7N  93.4W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 17.09.2010  21.0N  94.9W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 18.09.2010  21.4N  96.3W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 18.09.2010  21.8N  98.2W   MODERATE   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 19.09.2010  24.1N  97.1W     WEAK      WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 19.09.2010     BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 151701