000
WTNT80 EGRR 150600

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 15.09.2010

             HURRICANE IGOR       ANALYSED POSITION : 18.9N  53.6W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL112010

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 15.09.2010  18.9N  53.6W    STRONG
 12UTC 15.09.2010  19.6N  55.1W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 16.09.2010  20.0N  56.5W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 16.09.2010  20.6N  57.8W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 17.09.2010  21.0N  59.2W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 17.09.2010  21.5N  60.6W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 18.09.2010  22.4N  61.7W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 18.09.2010  24.3N  63.1W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 19.09.2010  26.1N  63.8W   INTENSE       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 19.09.2010  28.0N  64.8W   INTENSE       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 20.09.2010  30.4N  64.9W   INTENSE       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 20.09.2010  32.7N  64.8W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 21.09.2010  34.1N  62.4W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE

             HURRICANE JULIA      ANALYSED POSITION : 16.5N  30.4W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL122010

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 15.09.2010  16.5N  30.4W   MODERATE
 12UTC 15.09.2010  17.2N  31.9W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 16.09.2010  18.7N  33.6W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 16.09.2010  20.8N  36.4W    STRONG     WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 17.09.2010  23.5N  40.5W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 17.09.2010  25.2N  44.9W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 18.09.2010  27.0N  48.8W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 18.09.2010  29.9N  51.9W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 19.09.2010  32.9N  53.5W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 19.09.2010  35.8N  53.2W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 20.09.2010  37.4N  50.4W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 20.09.2010  37.9N  47.3W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 21.09.2010  38.3N  44.5W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY

        TROPICAL STORM KARL       ANALYSED POSITION : 18.6N  84.7W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL132010

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 15.09.2010  18.6N  84.7W   MODERATE
 12UTC 15.09.2010  18.8N  86.7W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 16.09.2010  19.8N  88.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 16.09.2010  20.4N  91.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 17.09.2010  21.2N  93.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 17.09.2010  21.3N  95.1W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 18.09.2010  21.9N  96.5W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 18.09.2010  22.3N  98.3W   MODERATE    WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 19.09.2010  BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

            
            
 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 150515