000
WTNT80 EGRR 141800

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 14.09.2010

             HURRICANE IGOR       ANALYSED POSITION : 18.0N  52.0W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL112010

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 14.09.2010  18.0N  52.0W    STRONG
 00UTC 15.09.2010  18.9N  53.2W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 15.09.2010  19.5N  54.9W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 16.09.2010  20.2N  56.2W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 16.09.2010  20.7N  57.8W   INTENSE    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 17.09.2010  21.2N  59.5W   INTENSE       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 17.09.2010  21.9N  61.1W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 18.09.2010  23.1N  62.4W   INTENSE       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 18.09.2010  24.5N  63.9W   INTENSE       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 19.09.2010  26.1N  64.9W   INTENSE       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 19.09.2010  28.2N  65.9W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 20.09.2010  31.3N  65.9W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 20.09.2010  34.5N  65.2W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY

             HURRICANE JULIA      ANALYSED POSITION : 15.9N  29.3W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL122010

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 14.09.2010  15.9N  29.3W   MODERATE
 00UTC 15.09.2010  16.5N  30.7W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 15.09.2010  17.5N  32.5W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 16.09.2010  18.2N  34.6W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 16.09.2010  19.6N  37.1W   MODERATE       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 17.09.2010  21.7N  40.6W   MODERATE   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 17.09.2010  23.5N  44.9W   MODERATE    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 18.09.2010  25.1N  49.0W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 18.09.2010  27.5N  52.5W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 19.09.2010     BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  24 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 24 : 18.4N  86.7W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 15.09.2010  18.4N  86.7W     WEAK
 00UTC 16.09.2010  19.8N  89.5W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 16.09.2010  20.4N  92.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 17.09.2010  21.1N  94.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 17.09.2010  21.4N  96.0W     WEAK  INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 18.09.2010  22.1N  97.1W     WEAK      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 18.09.2010     BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 141650