000
WTNT80 EGRR 120600

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 12.09.2010

             HURRICANE IGOR       ANALYSED POSITION : 17.3N  41.7W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL112010

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 12.09.2010  17.3N  41.7W   MODERATE
 12UTC 12.09.2010  18.3N  44.8W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 13.09.2010  18.6N  47.6W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 13.09.2010  18.6N  50.5W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 14.09.2010  18.9N  52.8W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 14.09.2010  19.1N  55.0W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 15.09.2010  19.8N  56.5W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 15.09.2010  20.3N  58.2W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 16.09.2010  21.0N  59.6W   INTENSE       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 16.09.2010  21.7N  61.4W   INTENSE    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 17.09.2010  22.1N  63.2W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 17.09.2010  23.3N  65.2W   INTENSE       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 18.09.2010  24.9N  66.7W   INTENSE       LITTLE CHANGE


             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  12 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 12 : 12.5N  21.0W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 12.09.2010  12.5N  21.0W     WEAK
 00UTC 13.09.2010  12.6N  23.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 13.09.2010  13.2N  26.1W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 14.09.2010  14.2N  28.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 14.09.2010  15.2N  29.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 15.09.2010  16.7N  30.9W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 15.09.2010  18.6N  32.6W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 16.09.2010  20.7N  34.9W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 16.09.2010  22.8N  38.4W    STRONG     WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 17.09.2010  24.7N  42.0W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 17.09.2010  26.0N  45.2W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 18.09.2010  27.1N  47.9W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 120444