000 WTNT80 EGRR 030600 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 03.09.2010 HURRICANE EARL ANALYSED POSITION : 33.0N 75.0W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL072010 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 03.09.2010 33.0N 75.0W INTENSE 12UTC 03.09.2010 36.2N 73.6W INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 04.09.2010 39.7N 71.2W INTENSE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 04.09.2010 43.9N 67.3W INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 05.09.2010 49.7N 63.5W INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 05.09.2010 54.0N 65.4W STRONG WEAKENING RAPIDLY 00UTC 06.09.2010 EXTRA-TROPICAL TROPICAL STORM FIONA ANALYSED POSITION : 26.4N 66.9W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL082010 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 03.09.2010 26.4N 66.9W WEAK 12UTC 03.09.2010 29.2N 67.0W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 04.09.2010 32.2N 65.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 04.09.2010 35.6N 63.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 05.09.2010 38.8N 60.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 05.09.2010 46.2N 59.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 06.09.2010 EXTRA-TROPICAL TROPICAL DEPRESSION GASTON ANALYSED POSITION : 13.9N 40.3W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL092010 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 03.09.2010 13.9N 40.3W WEAK 12UTC 03.09.2010 14.3N 42.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 04.09.2010 14.4N 43.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 04.09.2010 14.7N 45.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 05.09.2010 14.5N 47.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 05.09.2010 14.5N 49.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 06.09.2010 14.3N 51.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 06.09.2010 13.9N 54.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 07.09.2010 13.3N 57.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 07.09.2010 13.0N 59.0W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 08.09.2010 13.5N 60.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 08.09.2010 14.4N 61.9W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 09.09.2010 15.1N 62.8W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPED IN THE MODEL ANALYSIS AT POSITION : 18.9N 109.2W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 03.09.2010 18.9N 109.2W WEAK 12UTC 03.09.2010 19.1N 110.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 04.09.2010 20.0N 111.7W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 04.09.2010 20.3N 113.4W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 05.09.2010 17.6N 116.1W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 05.09.2010 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 36 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 36 : 13.5N 22.5W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 04.09.2010 13.5N 22.5W WEAK 00UTC 05.09.2010 16.6N 22.5W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 05.09.2010 18.0N 24.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 06.09.2010 19.7N 25.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 06.09.2010 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 36 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 36 : 14.7N 45.2W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 04.09.2010 14.7N 45.2W WEAK 00UTC 05.09.2010 14.5N 47.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 05.09.2010 14.5N 49.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 06.09.2010 14.3N 51.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 06.09.2010 13.9N 54.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 07.09.2010 13.3N 57.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 07.09.2010 13.0N 59.0W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 08.09.2010 13.5N 60.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 08.09.2010 14.4N 61.9W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 09.09.2010 15.1N 62.8W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 36 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 36 : 17.9N 102.7W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 04.09.2010 17.9N 102.7W WEAK 00UTC 05.09.2010 15.9N 98.5W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 05.09.2010 19.4N 95.2W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 06.09.2010 20.7N 95.5W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 06.09.2010 22.9N 96.3W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 07.09.2010 25.8N 98.4W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 07.09.2010 25.5N 99.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 08.09.2010 25.5N 99.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 08.09.2010 25.5N 99.9W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 09.09.2010 25.5N 99.7W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 030502