000
WTNT80 EGRR 291800

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 29.08.2010

             HURRICANE DANIELLE   ANALYSED POSITION : 34.1N  56.1W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL062010

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 29.08.2010  34.1N  56.1W   INTENSE
 00UTC 30.08.2010  38.5N  54.4W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 30.08.2010  39.2N  53.0W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 31.08.2010  40.0N  49.4W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 31.08.2010  40.8N  43.5W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 01.09.2010  41.8N  34.9W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 01.09.2010  BECOMING EXTRA-TROPICAL
 

             HURRICANE EARL       ANALYSED POSITION : 17.2N  57.8W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL072010

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 29.08.2010  17.2N  57.8W   INTENSE
 00UTC 30.08.2010  17.7N  61.0W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 30.08.2010  18.1N  63.5W   INTENSE    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 31.08.2010  19.1N  65.2W   INTENSE       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 31.08.2010  20.8N  67.0W   INTENSE    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 01.09.2010  22.6N  69.0W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 01.09.2010  24.9N  70.8W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 02.09.2010  27.8N  72.0W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 02.09.2010  31.0N  73.3W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 03.09.2010  33.9N  73.4W   INTENSE    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 03.09.2010  36.7N  72.2W   INTENSE       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 04.09.2010  40.1N  69.4W   INTENSE    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 04.09.2010  44.4N  64.2W   INTENSE       LITTLE CHANGE

   
             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  36 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 36 : 14.8N  48.9W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 31.08.2010  14.8N  48.9W     WEAK
 12UTC 31.08.2010  14.5N  53.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 01.09.2010  15.0N  56.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 01.09.2010  16.4N  60.2W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 02.09.2010  18.5N  63.1W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 02.09.2010  20.8N  65.6W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 03.09.2010  23.4N  67.4W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 03.09.2010  25.2N  69.0W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 04.09.2010  26.4N  69.4W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 04.09.2010  27.8N  69.8W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY

                        

 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 291742