000
WTNT80 EGRR 281800

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC
 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 28.08.2010

             HURRICANE DANIELLE   ANALYSED POSITION : 28.7N  61.0W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL062010

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 28.08.2010  28.7N  61.0W   INTENSE
 00UTC 29.08.2010  30.1N  59.6W   INTENSE       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 29.08.2010  32.7N  57.4W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 30.08.2010  37.4N  54.1W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 30.08.2010  40.0N  53.2W   INTENSE     WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 31.08.2010  40.2N  50.8W   INTENSE    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 31.08.2010  40.2N  46.2W    STRONG     WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 01.09.2010  41.4N  39.5W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 01.09.2010  44.8N  30.8W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 02.09.2010  EXTRA-TROPICAL

        TROPICAL STORM EARL       ANALYSED POSITION : 15.8N  51.2W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL072010

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 28.08.2010  15.8N  51.2W   MODERATE
 00UTC 29.08.2010  16.3N  54.3W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 29.08.2010  16.7N  57.2W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 30.08.2010  17.5N  59.5W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 30.08.2010  18.4N  61.6W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 31.08.2010  19.8N  63.5W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 31.08.2010  21.3N  65.6W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 01.09.2010  23.0N  67.7W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 01.09.2010  24.5N  69.8W   INTENSE       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 02.09.2010  26.4N  71.2W   INTENSE       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 02.09.2010  28.2N  72.3W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 03.09.2010  29.4N  72.3W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 03.09.2010  30.0N  70.5W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY


    TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPED IN THE MODEL ANALYSIS AT POSITION : 13.9N  29.5W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 28.08.2010  13.9N  29.5W     WEAK
 00UTC 29.08.2010  14.2N  32.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 29.08.2010  14.8N  36.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 30.08.2010  15.0N  40.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 30.08.2010  14.9N  44.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 31.08.2010  15.2N  49.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 31.08.2010  15.6N  52.9W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 01.09.2010  16.7N  56.4W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 01.09.2010  18.7N  59.9W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 02.09.2010  21.4N  62.7W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 02.09.2010  25.0N  64.5W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 03.09.2010  28.8N  65.6W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 03.09.2010  32.8N  66.9W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE


             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  24 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 48 : 14.6N 102.6W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 30.08.2010  14.6N 102.6W     WEAK
 00UTC 31.08.2010  15.0N 101.8W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 31.08.2010  16.4N 103.8W     WEAK      WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 01.09.2010  16.9N 103.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 01.09.2010  17.1N 106.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 02.09.2010  17.2N 106.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 02.09.2010  18.3N 107.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 03.09.2010  19.6N 109.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 03.09.2010  19.9N 110.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 281653