000
WTNT80 EGRR 121800

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 12.08.2010

    TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPED IN THE MODEL ANALYSIS AT POSITION : 10.4N 162.9W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 12.08.2010  10.4N 162.9W     WEAK
 00UTC 13.08.2010  11.3N 165.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 13.08.2010  11.7N 168.7W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 14.08.2010  11.9N 170.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 14.08.2010        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

    TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPED IN THE MODEL ANALYSIS AT POSITION : 15.1N 109.7W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 12.08.2010  15.1N 109.7W     WEAK
 00UTC 13.08.2010  15.9N 108.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 13.08.2010  16.5N 109.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 14.08.2010        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

    TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPED IN THE MODEL ANALYSIS AT POSITION : 29.5N  89.8W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 12.08.2010  29.5N  89.8W     WEAK
 00UTC 13.08.2010  29.8N  89.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 13.08.2010  30.2N  88.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 14.08.2010        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH
             
             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  12 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 12 : 15.0N  99.5W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 13.08.2010  15.0N  99.5W     WEAK
 12UTC 13.08.2010  15.5N  99.4W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 14.08.2010  16.1N  99.5W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 14.08.2010  16.4N  99.1W     WEAK      WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 15.08.2010  BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  24 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 24 : 36.0N  65.7W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 13.08.2010  36.0N  65.7W     WEAK
 00UTC 14.08.2010  36.3N  62.2W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 14.08.2010  39.1N  56.6W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 15.08.2010  40.7N  54.2W     WEAK     WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 15.08.2010  EXTRA-TROPICAL

 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 121744