000
WTNT80 EGRR 101800

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 10.08.2010

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION ESTELLE    ANALYSED POSITION : 17.3N 113.3W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP072010

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 10.08.2010  17.3N 113.3W   MODERATE
 00UTC 11.08.2010  17.0N 113.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 11.08.2010  16.5N 113.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 12.08.2010  16.1N 113.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 12.08.2010  15.6N 113.0W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 13.08.2010  15.5N 113.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 13.08.2010  15.8N 112.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 14.08.2010  15.5N 111.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 14.08.2010  15.4N 109.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 15.08.2010  16.8N 107.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 15.08.2010  17.7N 105.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 16.08.2010   BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH


             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  24 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 24 : 27.4N  86.1W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 11.08.2010  27.4N  86.1W     WEAK
 00UTC 12.08.2010  27.6N  89.7W     WEAK
 12UTC 12.08.2010  29.2N  89.5W     WEAK
 00UTC 13.08.2010  BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             
 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 101709