000
WTNT80 EGRR 091800

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 09.08.2010

        TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE    ANALYSED POSITION : 17.7N 112.0W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP072010

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 09.08.2010  17.7N 112.0W   MODERATE
 00UTC 10.08.2010  17.5N 112.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 10.08.2010  17.4N 112.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 11.08.2010  16.8N 113.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 11.08.2010  16.4N 113.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 12.08.2010  15.4N 112.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 12.08.2010  15.6N 111.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 13.08.2010        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  60 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 60 : 26.8N  51.3W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 12.08.2010  26.8N  51.3W     WEAK
 12UTC 12.08.2010  27.7N  50.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 13.08.2010  29.0N  49.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 13.08.2010  30.5N  47.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 14.08.2010  32.6N  46.2W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 14.08.2010  35.2N  44.1W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 15.08.2010  37.7N  42.3W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 15.08.2010  40.4N  40.6W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 091639