000
WTNT80 EGRR 080600

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 08.08.2010

        TROPICAL STORM COLIN      ANALYSED POSITION : 29.4N  66.2W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL042010

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 08.08.2010  29.4N  66.2W     WEAK
 12UTC 08.08.2010  30.4N  65.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 09.08.2010  31.5N  66.4W     WEAK      WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 09.08.2010  33.1N  66.6W     WEAK      WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 10.08.2010        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH


        TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE    ANALYSED POSITION : 17.2N 108.9W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP072010

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 08.08.2010  17.2N 108.9W     WEAK
 12UTC 08.08.2010  17.2N 110.1W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 09.08.2010  17.2N 111.2W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 09.08.2010  17.0N 111.6W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 10.08.2010  17.2N 112.4W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 10.08.2010  16.9N 113.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 11.08.2010  16.8N 113.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 11.08.2010  16.6N 113.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 12.08.2010  16.5N 112.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 12.08.2010  16.0N 111.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 13.08.2010  16.1N 110.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 13.08.2010  15.7N 108.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 14.08.2010  15.9N 106.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

             
             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP 
            FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 72 : 12.4N 142.0W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 11.08.2010  12.4N 142.0W     WEAK
 12UTC 11.08.2010  12.4N 143.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 12.08.2010  12.7N 145.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 12.08.2010  12.5N 146.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 13.08.2010  11.9N 147.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 13.08.2010  12.0N 148.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 14.08.2010  11.4N 149.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE


            TROPICAL DEPRESSION DEVELOPED IN THE MODEL ANALYSIS AT      
            POSITION : 20.8N 41.1W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 08.08.2010  20.8N  41.1W     WEAK
 12UTC 08.08.2010  21.2N  43.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 09.08.2010  21.5N  46.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 09.08.2010  22.6N  48.4W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 10.08.2010  23.6N  50.7W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 10.08.2010  24.2N  52.7W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 11.08.2010  25.0N  53.7W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 11.08.2010  26.9N  54.3W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 12.08.2010  28.7N  53.7W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 12.08.2010  30.7N  52.4W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 13.08.2010  32.7N  49.8W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 13.08.2010  34.8N  46.6W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 14.08.2010  36.4N  43.1W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 080600