000 WHXX01 KMIA 070646 CHGE77 TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0646 UTC SAT AUG 7 2010 DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS. PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION. EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE ESTELLE (EP072010) 20100807 0600 UTC ...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS... 100807 0600 100807 1800 100808 0600 100808 1800 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 16.7N 106.4W 17.1N 107.5W 17.5N 108.6W 17.7N 109.9W BAMD 16.7N 106.4W 17.4N 107.8W 18.3N 109.2W 19.3N 110.9W BAMM 16.7N 106.4W 17.3N 107.9W 18.0N 109.3W 18.7N 111.0W LBAR 16.7N 106.4W 17.3N 108.0W 18.4N 109.7W 19.6N 111.5W SHIP 45KTS 47KTS 50KTS 50KTS DSHP 45KTS 47KTS 50KTS 50KTS ...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS... 100809 0600 100810 0600 100811 0600 100812 0600 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 17.8N 111.4W 17.8N 115.0W 16.8N 118.1W 13.6N 118.8W BAMD 20.6N 112.8W 24.0N 115.8W 28.5N 115.5W 32.4N 113.0W BAMM 19.4N 113.0W 21.1N 117.4W 23.7N 120.8W 26.8N 121.9W LBAR 21.0N 113.3W 25.2N 115.8W 30.8N 114.7W 32.4N 112.1W SHIP 49KTS 41KTS 32KTS 23KTS DSHP 49KTS 41KTS 32KTS 23KTS ...INITIAL CONDITIONS... LATCUR = 16.7N LONCUR = 106.4W DIRCUR = 270DEG SPDCUR = 9KT LATM12 = 16.9N LONM12 = 104.6W DIRM12 = 286DEG SPDM12 = 11KT LATM24 = 16.2N LONM24 = 102.6W WNDCUR = 45KT RMAXWD = 25NM WNDM12 = 40KT CENPRS = 1000MB OUTPRS = 1007MB OUTRAD = 100NM SDEPTH = M RD34NE = 45NM RD34SE = 45NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 45NM $$ NNNN