000
WTNT80 EGRR 051800

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 05.08.2010

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION COLIN      ANALYSED POSITION : 22.5N  64.0W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL042010

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 05.08.2010  22.5N  64.0W     WEAK
 00UTC 06.08.2010  25.4N  66.6W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 06.08.2010  27.5N  67.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 07.08.2010  29.0N  67.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 07.08.2010  31.3N  67.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 08.08.2010  32.7N  66.2W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 08.08.2010  35.1N  64.8W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 09.08.2010  38.4N  62.0W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 09.08.2010  41.3N  57.8W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 10.08.2010  44.6N  52.2W   MODERATE    WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 10.08.2010  48.6N  46.6W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 11.08.2010  52.6N  38.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 11.08.2010 EXTRA-TROPICAL


    TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPED IN THE MODEL ANALYSIS AT POSITION : 10.9N 151.0W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 05.08.2010  10.9N 151.0W     WEAK
 00UTC 06.08.2010  11.0N 153.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 06.08.2010  11.7N 153.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 07.08.2010  11.1N 155.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 07.08.2010  11.6N 157.4W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 08.08.2010  10.7N 160.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 08.08.2010        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH
 
            
             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  12 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 12 : 14.4N  34.3W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 06.08.2010  14.4N  34.3W   MODERATE
 12UTC 06.08.2010  16.5N  34.2W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 07.08.2010  18.3N  34.9W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 07.08.2010  20.2N  36.5W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 08.08.2010        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             
 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 051744