000
WTNT80 EGRR 050600

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 05.08.2010

        TROPICAL STORM COLIN      ANALYSED POSITION : 20.9N  62.4W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL042010

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 05.08.2010  20.9N  62.4W     WEAK
 12UTC 05.08.2010  23.3N  66.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 06.08.2010  25.3N  67.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 06.08.2010  27.7N  68.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 07.08.2010  29.8N  67.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 07.08.2010  31.6N  66.6W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 08.08.2010  33.7N  65.1W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 08.08.2010  36.6N  63.4W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 09.08.2010  39.7N  60.3W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 09.08.2010  43.2N  55.3W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 10.08.2010  46.7N  49.7W     WEAK      WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 10.08.2010  51.4N  43.0W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 11.08.2010  54.0N  36.0W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY

    TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPED IN THE MODEL ANALYSIS AT POSITION : 10.5N 149.6W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 05.08.2010  10.5N 149.6W     WEAK
 12UTC 05.08.2010  10.9N 151.0W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 06.08.2010  11.8N 152.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 06.08.2010  11.7N 153.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 07.08.2010  11.8N 155.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 07.08.2010        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

    TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPED IN THE MODEL ANALYSIS AT POSITION : 10.8N 142.7W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 05.08.2010  10.8N 142.7W   MODERATE
 12UTC 05.08.2010  11.2N 143.7W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 06.08.2010  11.2N 144.7W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 06.08.2010  11.0N 145.7W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 07.08.2010  10.6N 146.4W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 07.08.2010        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

    TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPED IN THE MODEL ANALYSIS AT POSITION : 13.5N  95.7W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 05.08.2010  13.5N  95.7W     WEAK
 12UTC 05.08.2010  13.5N  97.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 06.08.2010  13.4N  98.6W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 06.08.2010  14.5N 100.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 07.08.2010  15.1N 101.6W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 07.08.2010  15.5N 103.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 08.08.2010  15.9N 105.2W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 08.08.2010        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  36 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 36 : 16.1N  33.3W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 06.08.2010  16.1N  33.3W   MODERATE
 00UTC 07.08.2010  17.9N  34.1W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 07.08.2010  19.8N  36.1W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 08.08.2010        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 050505