000
WTNT80 EGRR 031800

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 03.08.2010

        TROPICAL STORM COLIN      ANALYSED POSITION : 14.6N  48.9W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL042010

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 03.08.2010  14.6N  48.9W     WEAK
 00UTC 04.08.2010  14.9N  52.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 04.08.2010  16.1N  56.5W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 05.08.2010  17.6N  60.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 05.08.2010  19.5N  63.1W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 06.08.2010  20.6N  65.8W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 06.08.2010  22.2N  68.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 07.08.2010  23.8N  71.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 07.08.2010  24.8N  72.5W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 08.08.2010  26.6N  73.2W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 08.08.2010  28.8N  74.9W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 09.08.2010  30.3N  75.5W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 09.08.2010  31.5N  76.1W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  12 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 12 : 10.4N 146.9W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 04.08.2010  10.4N 146.9W     WEAK
 12UTC 04.08.2010  10.5N 147.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 05.08.2010  11.0N 149.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 05.08.2010  10.7N 151.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 06.08.2010  11.0N 152.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 06.08.2010  10.7N 153.6W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 07.08.2010        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  24 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 24 : 13.7N  94.7W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 04.08.2010  13.7N  94.7W   MODERATE
 00UTC 05.08.2010  13.7N  96.0W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 05.08.2010  13.7N  97.3W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 06.08.2010  13.9N  98.9W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 06.08.2010  15.0N 102.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 07.08.2010  15.0N 104.7W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 07.08.2010  16.0N 105.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 08.08.2010  17.3N 107.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 08.08.2010  17.1N 107.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 09.08.2010        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 031657