000
WTNT80 EGRR 060600

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 06.11.2009

        TROPICAL STORM IDA        ANALYSED POSITION : 13.6N  83.6W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL112009

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 06.11.2009  13.6N  83.6W     WEAK
 12UTC 06.11.2009  16.1N  85.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 07.11.2009  16.8N  85.8W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 07.11.2009  18.1N  85.2W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 08.11.2009  18.2N  85.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 08.11.2009  20.1N  86.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 09.11.2009  22.2N  88.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 09.11.2009  26.2N  89.3W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 10.11.2009  28.7N  89.3W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 10.11.2009  30.1N  87.6W    STRONG     WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 11.11.2009  31.2N  84.7W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 11.11.2009  BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

    TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPED IN THE MODEL ANALYSIS AT POSITION :
10.4N  93.8W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 06.11.2009  10.4N  93.8W   MODERATE
 12UTC 06.11.2009  10.3N  93.7W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 07.11.2009  11.0N  93.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 07.11.2009  11.1N  92.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 08.11.2009  11.7N  92.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 08.11.2009  12.0N  92.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 09.11.2009  11.5N  92.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 09.11.2009  11.4N  93.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 10.11.2009  11.3N  93.8W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 10.11.2009  11.1N  96.4W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 11.11.2009  10.3N 100.6W     WEAK      WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 11.11.2009  BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  24 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 24 : 19.0N  93.1W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 07.11.2009  19.0N  93.1W   MODERATE
 12UTC 07.11.2009  19.2N  93.2W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 08.11.2009  19.7N  93.1W     WEAK      WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 08.11.2009  19.7N  93.0W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 09.11.2009  BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 060521