000
WTNT80 EGRR 051800

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 05.11.2009

             HURRICANE IDA        ANALYSED POSITION : 13.2N  83.3W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL112009

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 05.11.2009  13.2N  83.3W   MODERATE
 00UTC 06.11.2009  14.1N  83.5W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 06.11.2009  15.1N  83.5W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 07.11.2009  16.4N  84.0W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 07.11.2009  17.4N  84.2W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 08.11.2009  18.2N  84.8W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 08.11.2009  19.6N  86.2W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 09.11.2009  21.4N  86.7W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 09.11.2009  24.6N  88.5W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 10.11.2009  27.4N  88.8W    STRONG    INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 10.11.2009  29.0N  87.5W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 11.11.2009  31.9N  83.5W   MODERATE    WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 11.11.2009  36.5N  80.3W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY

    TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPED IN THE MODEL ANALYSIS AT POSITION :
10.6N  93.5W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 05.11.2009  10.6N  93.5W   MODERATE
 00UTC 06.11.2009  10.3N  93.8W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 06.11.2009  10.7N  93.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 07.11.2009  10.7N  93.6W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 07.11.2009  11.4N  92.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 08.11.2009  11.4N  92.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 08.11.2009  11.5N  92.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 09.11.2009  11.9N  92.2W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 09.11.2009  12.2N  92.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 10.11.2009  11.9N  93.8W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 10.11.2009  11.4N  96.4W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 11.11.2009  10.0N 100.1W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 11.11.2009  10.5N 103.8W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 051647