000
WTNT80 EGRR 040600

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 04.11.2009

    TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPED IN THE MODEL ANALYSIS AT POSITION :
9.9N  92.3W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 04.11.2009   9.9N  92.3W     WEAK
 12UTC 04.11.2009   9.9N  92.9W     WEAK      WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 05.11.2009   7.9N  97.5W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 05.11.2009   8.3N  97.9W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 06.11.2009  10.0N  97.5W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 06.11.2009  10.3N  98.7W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 07.11.2009  10.3N  99.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 07.11.2009  10.0N  99.8W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 08.11.2009  10.2N 100.5W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 08.11.2009  10.3N 101.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 09.11.2009  10.3N 102.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 09.11.2009  10.3N 103.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 10.11.2009  10.5N 105.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE


             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  12 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 12 : 10.9N  82.1W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 04.11.2009  10.9N  82.1W     WEAK
 00UTC 05.11.2009  11.5N  81.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 05.11.2009  12.0N  81.8W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 06.11.2009  11.7N  82.4W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 06.11.2009  12.0N  81.8W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 07.11.2009  12.4N  81.6W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 07.11.2009  12.3N  81.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 08.11.2009  13.2N  81.3W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 08.11.2009  13.3N  81.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 09.11.2009  13.4N  82.4W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 09.11.2009  15.1N  82.7W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 10.11.2009  16.0N  83.3W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 040509