000 WTNT80 EGRR 171800 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 17.10.2009 HURRICANE RICK ANALYSED POSITION : 14.4N 102.2W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP202009 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 17.10.2009 14.4N 102.2W STRONG 00UTC 18.10.2009 15.0N 105.4W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 18.10.2009 15.5N 108.3W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 19.10.2009 16.0N 111.2W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 19.10.2009 16.6N 113.2W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 20.10.2009 17.2N 114.4W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 20.10.2009 17.9N 115.2W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 21.10.2009 18.2N 115.7W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 21.10.2009 18.6N 116.1W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 22.10.2009 18.2N 116.6W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 22.10.2009 18.6N 116.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 23.10.2009 18.2N 117.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 23.10.2009 18.0N 118.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 72 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 72 : 7.5N 85.2W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 20.10.2009 7.5N 85.2W WEAK 00UTC 21.10.2009 8.2N 85.5W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 21.10.2009 8.3N 84.5W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 22.10.2009 8.6N 85.7W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 22.10.2009 9.8N 85.9W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 23.10.2009 9.8N 85.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 23.10.2009 9.6N 85.5W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 171648