000 WTNT80 EGRR 170600 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 17.10.2009 HURRICANE RICK ANALYSED POSITION : 13.1N 100.5W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP202009 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 17.10.2009 13.1N 100.5W MODERATE 12UTC 17.10.2009 13.9N 102.8W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 18.10.2009 14.9N 106.0W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 18.10.2009 14.9N 109.3W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 19.10.2009 15.5N 112.2W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 19.10.2009 16.2N 114.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 20.10.2009 17.0N 116.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 20.10.2009 17.4N 117.2W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 21.10.2009 17.4N 118.5W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 21.10.2009 17.8N 119.4W MODERATE INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 00UTC 22.10.2009 17.5N 120.2W WEAK WEAKENING RAPIDLY 12UTC 22.10.2009 17.3N 121.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 23.10.2009 17.5N 123.6W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 24 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 24 : 9.3N 149.6W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 18.10.2009 9.3N 149.6W WEAK 12UTC 18.10.2009 8.8N 152.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 19.10.2009 9.1N 154.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 19.10.2009 10.9N 157.3W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 20.10.2009 11.9N 159.6W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 20.10.2009 13.3N 162.4W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 21.10.2009 14.7N 164.6W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 21.10.2009 15.6N 165.1W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 22.10.2009 16.7N 166.3W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 22.10.2009 16.6N 167.9W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 23.10.2009 17.5N 170.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 170443