000
WTNT80 EGRR 151800

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 15.10.2009


             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  12 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 12 : 11.8N  96.6W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 16.10.2009  11.8N  96.6W     WEAK
 12UTC 16.10.2009  12.0N  99.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 17.10.2009  12.6N  99.5W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 17.10.2009  13.1N 101.0W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 18.10.2009  13.3N 103.8W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 18.10.2009  14.7N 106.8W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 19.10.2009  15.3N 110.5W     WEAK      WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 19.10.2009  16.1N 112.8W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 20.10.2009  16.5N 115.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 20.10.2009  16.6N 117.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 21.10.2009  16.3N 118.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 21.10.2009  17.5N 119.5W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 151702