000 WHXX01 KMIA 131844 CHGE77 TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1844 UTC TUE OCT 13 2009 DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS. PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION. EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE PATRICIA (EP192009) 20091013 1800 UTC ...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS... 091013 1800 091014 0600 091014 1800 091015 0600 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 21.9N 108.9W 22.8N 109.5W 23.4N 110.7W 23.9N 112.2W BAMD 21.9N 108.9W 22.6N 110.0W 23.5N 111.8W 24.6N 113.6W BAMM 21.9N 108.9W 22.5N 109.9W 23.2N 111.7W 24.0N 113.6W LBAR 21.9N 108.9W 23.2N 109.0W 24.6N 110.0W 25.5N 111.1W SHIP 45KTS 41KTS 39KTS 39KTS DSHP 45KTS 41KTS 39KTS 39KTS ...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS... 091015 1800 091016 1800 091017 1800 091018 1800 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 24.4N 113.8W 24.2N 116.4W 23.8N 118.5W 23.4N 120.3W BAMD 25.7N 114.7W 26.9N 115.6W 27.5N 115.8W 28.9N 114.7W BAMM 24.8N 115.1W 25.3N 117.6W 25.5N 119.7W 26.0N 120.6W LBAR 26.2N 112.5W 26.5N 114.5W 26.5N 116.5W 27.2N 117.8W SHIP 37KTS 33KTS 29KTS 23KTS DSHP 37KTS 33KTS 29KTS 23KTS ...INITIAL CONDITIONS... LATCUR = 21.9N LONCUR = 108.9W DIRCUR = 15DEG SPDCUR = 7KT LATM12 = 20.4N LONM12 = 109.2W DIRM12 = 15DEG SPDM12 = 7KT LATM24 = 19.3N LONM24 = 109.7W WNDCUR = 45KT RMAXWD = 40NM WNDM12 = 50KT CENPRS = 1000MB OUTPRS = 1011MB OUTRAD = 160NM SDEPTH = D RD34NE = 60NM RD34SE = 75NM RD34SW = 40NM RD34NW = 0NM $$ NNNN