000
WHXX01 KMIA 131247
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1247 UTC TUE OCT 13 2009
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
TROPICAL CYCLONE PATRICIA (EP192009) 20091013 1200 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        091013  1200   091014  0000   091014  1200   091015  0000
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    21.1N 109.1W   22.6N 109.6W   23.6N 110.6W   24.5N 112.0W
BAMD    21.1N 109.1W   22.2N 109.7W   23.1N 111.2W   24.1N 112.9W
BAMM    21.1N 109.1W   22.1N 109.7W   22.8N 111.3W   23.6N 113.2W
LBAR    21.1N 109.1W   22.6N 109.2W   24.4N 109.8W   25.9N 110.7W
SHIP        50KTS          50KTS          49KTS          49KTS
DSHP        50KTS          50KTS          49KTS          49KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        091015  1200   091016  1200   091017  1200   091018  1200
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    25.0N 113.5W   25.0N 116.0W   24.5N 118.3W   24.8N 119.9W
BAMD    25.2N 114.2W   26.6N 115.7W   27.1N 116.3W   28.6N 116.3W
BAMM    24.4N 115.0W   25.0N 117.8W   24.9N 120.3W   25.8N 121.6W
LBAR    26.7N 111.4W   27.4N 112.8W   26.9N 114.8W   27.8N 117.2W
SHIP        48KTS          42KTS          36KTS          33KTS
DSHP        48KTS          42KTS          36KTS          33KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  21.1N LONCUR = 109.1W DIRCUR =  15DEG SPDCUR =   7KT
LATM12 =  19.8N LONM12 = 109.4W DIRM12 =  23DEG SPDM12 =   6KT
LATM24 =  18.8N LONM24 = 109.6W
WNDCUR =   50KT RMAXWD =   35NM WNDM12 =   50KT
CENPRS =  997MB OUTPRS = 1009MB OUTRAD =  160NM SDEPTH =   D
RD34NE =   25NM RD34SE =   75NM RD34SW =  100NM RD34NW =   0NM
 
$$
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