000 WTNT80 EGRR 130600 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 13.10.2009 TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA ANALYSED POSITION : 19.8N 110.0W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP192009 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 13.10.2009 19.8N 110.0W MODERATE 12UTC 13.10.2009 20.8N 109.9W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 14.10.2009 21.1N 110.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 14.10.2009 20.5N 111.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 15.10.2009 20.5N 113.3W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 15.10.2009 20.4N 115.5W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 16.10.2009 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 24 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 24 : 8.3N 89.2W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 14.10.2009 8.3N 89.2W WEAK 12UTC 14.10.2009 9.7N 91.4W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 15.10.2009 10.3N 93.2W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 15.10.2009 10.9N 95.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 16.10.2009 11.7N 97.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 16.10.2009 11.3N 99.2W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 17.10.2009 12.1N 101.2W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 17.10.2009 12.9N 103.2W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 18.10.2009 13.6N 105.6W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 18.10.2009 14.2N 108.3W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 19.10.2009 15.3N 110.5W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 130447