000 WHXX01 KMIA 121904 CHGE77 TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1904 UTC MON OCT 12 2009 DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS. PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION. EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE PATRICIA (EP192009) 20091012 1800 UTC ...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS... 091012 1800 091013 0600 091013 1800 091014 0600 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 19.5N 110.0W 21.5N 110.5W 23.3N 111.0W 24.3N 111.5W BAMD 19.5N 110.0W 21.3N 110.5W 22.6N 110.4W 23.0N 111.1W BAMM 19.5N 110.0W 21.3N 110.5W 22.4N 110.9W 22.8N 111.8W LBAR 19.5N 110.0W 21.4N 109.9W 23.8N 109.4W 25.8N 108.9W SHIP 50KTS 56KTS 57KTS 59KTS DSHP 50KTS 56KTS 57KTS 59KTS ...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS... 091014 1800 091015 1800 091016 1800 091017 1800 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 24.9N 112.4W 24.9N 114.7W 24.2N 117.6W 24.0N 120.5W BAMD 23.4N 112.6W 24.1N 116.1W 23.8N 119.1W 23.0N 122.2W BAMM 23.1N 113.4W 23.4N 117.3W 23.0N 121.1W 22.8N 124.8W LBAR 27.5N 107.8W 28.5N 104.9W 27.2N 100.9W 28.1N 95.2W SHIP 59KTS 52KTS 44KTS 41KTS DSHP 59KTS 52KTS 44KTS 41KTS ...INITIAL CONDITIONS... LATCUR = 19.5N LONCUR = 110.0W DIRCUR = 325DEG SPDCUR = 7KT LATM12 = 18.3N LONM12 = 109.3W DIRM12 = 323DEG SPDM12 = 6KT LATM24 = 17.1N LONM24 = 108.3W WNDCUR = 50KT RMAXWD = 40NM WNDM12 = 40KT CENPRS = 997MB OUTPRS = 1005MB OUTRAD = 150NM SDEPTH = D RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 100NM RD34SW = 50NM RD34NW = 0NM $$ NNNN