000
WHXX01 KMIA 121840
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1840 UTC MON OCT 12 2009
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
TROPICAL CYCLONE PATRICIA (EP192009) 20091012 1800 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        091012  1800   091013  0600   091013  1800   091014  0600
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    19.3N 110.0W   21.3N 110.5W   23.0N 111.0W   24.1N 111.5W
BAMD    19.3N 110.0W   21.0N 110.5W   22.2N 110.7W   22.6N 111.5W
BAMM    19.3N 110.0W   21.0N 110.6W   22.1N 110.9W   22.4N 111.9W
LBAR    19.3N 110.0W   21.1N 110.0W   23.3N 109.5W   25.3N 109.3W
SHIP        50KTS          56KTS          57KTS          59KTS
DSHP        50KTS          56KTS          57KTS          59KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        091014  1800   091015  1800   091016  1800   091017  1800
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    24.6N 112.5W   24.7N 114.9W   24.0N 117.9W   23.6N 120.8W
BAMD    22.9N 113.2W   23.7N 117.0W   23.2N 120.2W   22.5N 123.6W
BAMM    22.7N 113.7W   23.0N 117.9W   22.6N 122.1W   22.3N 126.0W
LBAR    26.8N 108.7W   27.9N 107.0W   26.0N 105.6W   26.0N 103.8W
SHIP        58KTS          51KTS          43KTS          40KTS
DSHP        58KTS          51KTS          43KTS          40KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  19.3N LONCUR = 110.0W DIRCUR = 325DEG SPDCUR =   6KT
LATM12 =  18.3N LONM12 = 109.3W DIRM12 = 323DEG SPDM12 =   6KT
LATM24 =  17.1N LONM24 = 108.3W
WNDCUR =   50KT RMAXWD =   40NM WNDM12 =   40KT
CENPRS =  997MB OUTPRS = 1005MB OUTRAD =  150NM SDEPTH =   D
RD34NE =   30NM RD34SE =   75NM RD34SW =   50NM RD34NW =   0NM
 
$$
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