000
WHXX01 KMIA 091905
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1905 UTC FRI OCT 9 2009
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
DISTURBANCE INVEST (EP922009) 20091009 1800 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        091009  1800   091010  0600   091010  1800   091011  0600
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    17.7N 106.7W   18.0N 107.3W   18.6N 108.3W   19.8N 109.2W
BAMD    17.7N 106.7W   17.6N 107.2W   17.7N 108.3W   18.5N 109.4W
BAMM    17.7N 106.7W   17.8N 107.3W   18.2N 108.2W   18.9N 109.2W
LBAR    17.7N 106.7W   18.0N 106.3W   18.7N 106.3W   19.8N 106.6W
SHIP        20KTS          20KTS          23KTS          27KTS
DSHP        20KTS          20KTS          23KTS          27KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        091011  1800   091012  1800   091013  1800   091014  1800
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    21.6N 109.7W   25.8N 108.9W   29.9N 107.3W   33.2N 105.6W
BAMD    19.8N 110.0W   23.5N 109.2W   29.1N 104.7W   30.6N  97.4W
BAMM    20.3N 109.7W   23.9N 108.8W   28.2N 106.1W   30.7N 103.2W
LBAR    21.3N 106.6W   25.8N 104.1W   32.2N  96.9W   31.8N  85.1W
SHIP        32KTS          38KTS          36KTS          38KTS
DSHP        32KTS          38KTS          28KTS          27KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  17.7N LONCUR = 106.7W DIRCUR =  45DEG SPDCUR =   3KT
LATM12 =  17.3N LONM12 = 107.1W DIRM12 =  44DEG SPDM12 =   4KT
LATM24 =  16.7N LONM24 = 107.6W
WNDCUR =   20KT RMAXWD =   45NM WNDM12 =   20KT
CENPRS = 1009MB OUTPRS = 1011MB OUTRAD =  120NM SDEPTH =   S
RD34NE =    0NM RD34SE =    0NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =   0NM
 
$$
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