000
WTNT80 EGRR 241800

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 24.09.2009

        TROPICAL STORM NORA       ANALYSED POSITION : 17.0N 119.6W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP172009

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 24.09.2009  17.0N 119.6W     WEAK
 00UTC 25.09.2009  17.5N 120.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 25.09.2009  17.4N 121.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 26.09.2009  16.9N 123.5W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 26.09.2009  16.8N 125.0W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 27.09.2009  17.1N 126.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 27.09.2009        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  60 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 60 : 14.4N  99.9W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 27.09.2009  14.4N  99.9W     WEAK
 12UTC 27.09.2009  14.0N 102.4W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 28.09.2009  14.3N 104.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 28.09.2009  14.0N 105.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 29.09.2009  14.0N 105.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 29.09.2009  14.6N 105.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 30.09.2009  15.9N 107.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 30.09.2009  17.5N 109.7W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 241709