000
WTNT80 EGRR 080600

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 08.09.2009

        TROPICAL STORM LINDA      ANALYSED POSITION : 15.2N 127.5W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP152009

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 08.09.2009  15.2N 127.5W     WEAK
 12UTC 08.09.2009  15.3N 128.9W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 09.09.2009  14.8N 129.7W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 09.09.2009  14.7N 130.2W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 10.09.2009  14.8N 130.7W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 10.09.2009  15.6N 130.7W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 11.09.2009  16.3N 130.8W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 11.09.2009  17.4N 131.3W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 12.09.2009  17.9N 132.4W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 12.09.2009  18.5N 133.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 13.09.2009  18.5N 134.2W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 13.09.2009  18.5N 135.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 14.09.2009  18.5N 136.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

   TROPICAL STORM FRED      ANALYSED POSITION : 12.0N  25.7W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL072009

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 08.09.2009  12.0N  25.7W     WEAK
 12UTC 08.09.2009  12.4N  28.6W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 09.09.2009  13.0N  30.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 09.09.2009  13.3N  33.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 10.09.2009  14.3N  34.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 10.09.2009  14.3N  35.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 11.09.2009  15.8N  35.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 11.09.2009  15.9N  35.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 12.09.2009  16.0N  35.3W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 12.09.2009  15.2N  35.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 13.09.2009  15.5N  35.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 13.09.2009  16.9N  35.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 14.09.2009  16.8N  36.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

    TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPED IN THE MODEL ANALYSIS AT POSITION :
33.9N  77.2W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 08.09.2009  33.9N  77.2W     WEAK
 12UTC 08.09.2009  34.8N  75.8W     WEAK      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 09.09.2009  35.8N  74.1W     WEAK      WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 09.09.2009  36.9N  72.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 10.09.2009  36.5N  72.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 10.09.2009  37.3N  74.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 11.09.2009        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  48 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 48 : 11.5N 158.1W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 10.09.2009  11.5N 158.1W     WEAK
 12UTC 10.09.2009  11.6N 159.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 11.09.2009  12.2N 160.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 11.09.2009  12.4N 162.1W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 12.09.2009  13.8N 163.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 12.09.2009  14.1N 166.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 13.09.2009  14.4N 168.7W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 13.09.2009  15.4N 170.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 14.09.2009  16.1N 171.9W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 080450