000 WTNT80 EGRR 060600 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 06.09.2009 NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 36 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 36 : 12.0N 21.5W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 07.09.2009 12.0N 21.5W MODERATE 00UTC 08.09.2009 13.1N 23.2W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 08.09.2009 13.9N 25.7W MODERATE INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 00UTC 09.09.2009 14.6N 27.9W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 09.09.2009 15.2N 29.5W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 10.09.2009 16.7N 30.7W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 10.09.2009 18.1N 31.3W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 11.09.2009 19.3N 31.3W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 11.09.2009 19.8N 30.7W MODERATE WEAKENING RAPIDLY 00UTC 12.09.2009 20.4N 30.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 48 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 48 : 15.0N 124.9W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 08.09.2009 15.0N 124.9W WEAK 12UTC 08.09.2009 16.3N 124.7W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 09.09.2009 17.3N 124.9W MODERATE INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 12UTC 09.09.2009 18.9N 125.0W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 10.09.2009 19.6N 125.6W WEAK WEAKENING RAPIDLY 12UTC 10.09.2009 21.1N 126.3W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 11.09.2009 21.9N 127.4W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 11.09.2009 22.7N 128.1W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 12.09.2009 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 060448 000 WTNT80 EGRR 060600 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 06.09.2009 NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 36 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 36 : 12.0N 21.5W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 07.09.2009 12.0N 21.5W MODERATE 00UTC 08.09.2009 13.1N 23.2W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 08.09.2009 13.9N 25.7W MODERATE INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 00UTC 09.09.2009 14.6N 27.9W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 09.09.2009 15.2N 29.5W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 10.09.2009 16.7N 30.7W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 10.09.2009 18.1N 31.3W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 11.09.2009 19.3N 31.3W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 11.09.2009 19.8N 30.7W MODERATE WEAKENING RAPIDLY 00UTC 12.09.2009 20.4N 30.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 48 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 48 : 15.0N 124.9W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 08.09.2009 15.0N 124.9W WEAK 12UTC 08.09.2009 16.3N 124.7W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 09.09.2009 17.3N 124.9W MODERATE INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 12UTC 09.09.2009 18.9N 125.0W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 10.09.2009 19.6N 125.6W WEAK WEAKENING RAPIDLY 12UTC 10.09.2009 21.1N 126.3W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 11.09.2009 21.9N 127.4W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 11.09.2009 22.7N 128.1W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 12.09.2009 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPED IN THE MODEL ANALYSIS AT POSITION : 27.5N 152.7E VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 06.09.2009 27.5N 152.7E WEAK 12UTC 06.09.2009 30.5N 154.9E WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 07.09.2009 34.5N 158.5E WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 07.09.2009 36.8N 164.9E STRONG INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 00UTC 08.09.2009 39.2N 171.3E INTENSE INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 12UTC 08.09.2009 40.8N 178.5E INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 09.09.2009 41.5N 173.0W INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 09.09.2009 42.6N 163.4W INTENSE INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 00UTC 10.09.2009 48.3N 152.6W INTENSE WEAKENING RAPIDLY 12UTC 10.09.2009 53.1N 151.4W MODERATE WEAKENING RAPIDLY 00UTC 11.09.2009 EXTRA-TROPICAL THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 060504