000
WTNT80 EGRR 030600

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 03.09.2009

        TROPICAL STORM ERIKA      ANALYSED POSITION : 16.3N  62.6W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL062009

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 03.09.2009  16.3N  62.6W     WEAK
 12UTC 03.09.2009  16.9N  64.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 04.09.2009  17.8N  67.3W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 04.09.2009  18.1N  67.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 05.09.2009  20.3N  70.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 05.09.2009        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             HURRICANE JIMENA     ANALYSED POSITION : 26.8N 112.2W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP132009

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 03.09.2009  26.8N 112.2W    STRONG
 12UTC 03.09.2009  27.9N 112.3W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 04.09.2009  27.9N 112.9W   MODERATE    WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 04.09.2009  28.1N 112.9W     WEAK      WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 05.09.2009        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  36 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 36 : 15.4N  25.2W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 04.09.2009  15.4N  25.2W     WEAK
 00UTC 05.09.2009  16.0N  27.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 05.09.2009  16.8N  29.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 06.09.2009  17.6N  31.6W     WEAK      WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 06.09.2009  17.7N  33.5W WEAK INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 07.09.2009         BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 030513